Kenya Christian

  • Obama vs Bradley?

    Posted: October 20, 2008, 1:00 pm by Frank


    Will the Bradley Effect come into play in this years U.S elections? In 1982 black California Mayor Tom Bradley lost the election to white candiate George Deukmejian even after Bradley led by wide margins in the opinion polls leading up to the vote. It appeared that white voters deceived the pollsters that they would vote for the black candidate but voted for the white one on election day. The theory is still in contention, but it is interesting to see if this effect may repeat itself in 2008. Will Obama's votes be significantly different on November 4th from what opinion polls currently tell us? It will be an interesting phenomenon to observe. Will the Bradley Effect affect Obama's chances?
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